Cardano’s native token, ADA, is facing a pivotal technical test near the $0.70 resistance level, even as global economic tensions and regulatory delays cloud market sentiment. With Japan emerging as a key trading hub for ADA, the token’s future direction may hinge on both regional demand and broader macroeconomic forces.


Japan Drives ADA Demand Amid ETF Delay

The renewed interest in ADA from Japanese investors has become a significant driver of trading volume. This comes at a time when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has again delayed its decision on a proposed Cardano-based ETF, adding a layer of regulatory uncertainty that weighs heavily on price momentum.

Despite these headwinds, Cardano’s network fundamentals remain robust. The blockchain recently surpassed a major milestone with over 110 million total transactions, reinforcing the platform’s consistent use and adoption.


Geopolitical Tensions and Market Sentiment

Cryptocurrency markets remain highly sensitive to global inflation risks and escalating U.S.-China tensions, which are prompting risk-off behavior among institutional investors. As traditional markets brace for potential policy shifts by the Federal Reserve, digital assets like ADA are caught in the crosswinds.

“The market is looking for clarity — both from central banks and from regulators. Until then, volatility is the norm,” noted one analyst.


Technical Analysis: Resistance at $0.70 Holds Firm

Over the past 24 hours, ADA traded within a volatile range of $0.664 to $0.690, reflecting a battle between bulls and bears. Here’s a breakdown of key technical levels:

  • Resistance: $0.690 — High-volume rejection observed around 01:00 UTC.
  • Support: $0.665 — Repeated buying pressure detected at 10:00 and 12:00 UTC.
  • Mid-range Bias: Price currently testing $0.672, with a slight bearish inclination per 4-hour moving average.
  • New Support: Established at $0.668 after a pullback at 14:00, with buying pressure lifting ADA back above $0.671.

The formation of a consolidation zone between $0.664 and $0.690 suggests that traders are awaiting a decisive breakout before taking stronger directional bets.


Outlook

If ADA breaks above $0.690 with sustained volume, a rally toward $0.72 becomes likely. However, failure to hold the $0.665 support could open the door for a dip toward the $0.64 range.

With Japan backing ADA activity and the ecosystem maintaining strong fundamentals, the next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether Cardano can reclaim bullish momentum.

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