XRP is flashing a familiar signal that seasoned crypto traders may recognize — a bullish divergence between price and the MACD indicator, much like the pattern that preceded Bitcoin’s explosive run from $70,000 to $100,000 in late 2024. This technical setup has analysts eyeing a potential XRP rally in the near term.
Resilience in the Face of Bearish Indicators
Despite a bearish MACD histogram — a popular trend-following indicator — XRP has managed to hold its ground, trading within a tight $2.00–$2.60 range for weeks. Since the MACD crossed below zero in March 2025, a stronger downtrend was expected. However, XRP’s refusal to dip significantly has caught analysts’ attention.
“When price resists falling despite bearish momentum, it’s a classic sign of accumulation and latent bullish strength.”
— Daily Technical Analysis
This divergence between MACD signals and price movement is a sign that bulls are absorbing selling pressure, possibly setting the stage for an upward breakout.
Bullish Structure: Weekly Moving Averages Confirm Uptrend
The 50-, 100-, and 200-week Simple Moving Averages (SMA) are all sloping upward, reinforcing the bullish case. These long-term trend indicators often act as dynamic support and signal the underlying strength of an asset’s price action.
Key support range: $2.00
Key resistance zone: $2.60–$3.00
Should XRP break above the $2.60 resistance, it could rapidly retest its multi-year high above $3.40, especially if ETF approval speculation gains momentum.
Déjà Vu: XRP Mirrors Bitcoin’s 2024 Bullish Divergence
This setup resembles what Bitcoin experienced in mid-2024. Despite a bearish MACD throughout the summer, Bitcoin held firm near $60K, resisting broader market sell-offs. CoinDesk analysts highlighted the divergence in September, and by November, BTC surged past $100,000.
XRP’s similar behavior — holding steady against bearish momentum — has now fueled speculation that it may follow Bitcoin’s breakout blueprint.
Conclusion: XRP Positioned for Breakout
With bullish technical divergences forming and market structure aligning in XRP’s favor, the coin may be gearing up for a major bull move. While timing remains uncertain, price consolidation near long-term support, in combination with rising investor interest and ETF optimism, suggests XRP is preparing for liftoff.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.