Surge in user participation and contract volume pushes the platform deeper into futures, derivatives, and regulated prediction trading infrastructure.

Prediction markets have rapidly become one of the strongest-performing product lines for Robinhood, driven by surging user demand and high-volume trading activity. Since debuting the feature in March through a partnership with Kalshi, the platform has already logged nine billion traded contracts and participation from more than one million users, marking one of its fastest expansions to date. The company now plans to scale the product into a full derivatives and futures ecosystem as interest in regulated prediction markets accelerates.


Prediction Markets Fuel Revenue Growth

Robinhood confirmed that prediction markets are now a major contributor to its revenue momentum. JB Mackenzie, general manager of futures and international at Robinhood, said the company is witnessing “strong customer demand” and intends to build on that pace.

Robinhood says it will deepen its investment by launching a futures and derivatives exchange and a clearinghouse, allowing the company to expand the scope and efficiency of its offerings.

The firm also emphasized that infrastructure upgrades will improve trading experience and support more advanced market products, positioning the platform for long-term competition in the derivatives sector.


Derivatives Exchange Expected to Launch in 2026

The upcoming exchange will feature Robinhood as the controlling partner and market maker, with Susquehanna International Group serving as the initial liquidity provider.

Robinhood is additionally set to acquire MIAXdx, a CFTC-licensed derivatives clearing organization and swap execution facility—a move industry experts see as essential for regulatory continuity. A derivatives analyst noted that “controlling a licensed clearing organization gives Robinhood a structural advantage as prediction markets scale.”

The exchange is expected to begin operations in 2026.


Prediction Market Interest Continues to Surge

Regulated prediction markets have grown significantly in 2025, with platforms like Kalshi recording $4.47 billion in trading volume over the past 30 days, according to DefiLlama. Polymarket followed closely with $3.58 billion in volume during the same period.

Major crypto exchanges are now entering the space as well. Crypto.com has launched its own prediction platform, while Gemini has filed with the CFTC to introduce prediction market offerings as part of a broader product expansion.

Market researchers also report that website data shows ongoing development of a prediction market product at Coinbase, reflecting widening industry adoption.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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