Bitwise says expanding investor base and ETF access are reshaping Bitcoin’s risk profile

Bitcoin’s price behavior in 2025 suggests a shift toward greater maturity, with volatility now lower than that of Nvidia stock. According to market analysis from Bitwise, this trend reflects a broadening investor base and the growing influence of institutional capital entering the digital asset market.

Bitcoin vs Nvidia: A Volatility Comparison

Data from 2025 shows that Bitcoin recorded a 68% price range, moving from a low near $75,000 in April to a peak of $126,000 in October. Nvidia, by comparison, experienced a much wider 120% swing, rising from approximately $94 to a high of $207 during the same period.

Bitwise says Bitcoin will continue to be less volatile than Nvidia in 2026.

This contrast highlights a notable shift. Bitcoin, once known for extreme price fluctuations, is now exhibiting more stable trading behavior than one of the most actively traded technology stocks.

Bitwise attributes this change to the steady decline in Bitcoin volatility over the past decade. The rise of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and other regulated investment vehicles has introduced longer-term capital and reduced speculative trading.

The diversification of Bitcoin’s investor base is driving a fundamental “derisking” of the asset, positioning it closer to traditional financial instruments.

Bitwise expects Bitcoin’s volatility to remain below Nvidia’s in 2026, while also forecasting a new all-time high and a weakening of the traditional four-year market cycle. Continued institutional participation and supportive regulation are expected to accelerate adoption and strengthen Bitcoin’s role within global portfolios.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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