Bitcoin headed lower into the weekly close as selling pressure returned alongside growing unease across global markets. After briefly holding recent gains, BTC lost momentum as U.S. futures prepared to open, with traders increasingly focused on a cluster of downside macroeconomic catalysts that could shape price action in the days ahead.

BTC’s retreat has brought renewed attention to the $86,000 support zone, a level bulls are now under pressure to defend. Market structure suggests that downside risks currently outweigh upside potential, with analysts pointing to weakening momentum and fading bid strength near recent highs. The broader setup reflects caution rather than panic, but sentiment has clearly shifted toward capital preservation.

Upcoming macroeconomic developments are weighing on risk assets. Expectations around the Federal Reserve’s policy stance remain restrictive, with futures markets assigning very low odds to near-term rate cuts. At the same time, the start of earnings season is adding another layer of uncertainty, as investors reassess growth expectations amid tighter financial conditions.

Fed target rate probabilities for Jan. 28 FOMC meeting (screenshot).

One potential bright spot is a nascent bullish divergence between bitcoin and silver, which some traders see as an early signal of relative strength. However, until macro pressures ease, BTC is likely to remain vulnerable to further pullbacks, with price direction hinging on whether $86K can hold into the new trading week.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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