Bitcoin has recorded $2.3 billion in seven-day average realized net losses, marking one of the most significant capitulation events in its history, according to data shared by analysts .
The scale of losses places the current downturn among the top three to five largest sell-offs ever recorded for Bitcoin. Analysts note that comparable capitulation events occurred during the 2021 market crash, the 2022 Luna and FTX collapse, and the mid-2024 correction.
Bitcoin has fallen nearly 50% from its all-time high above $126,000 in October to trade around $66,600. The decline reflects heavy selling pressure from short-term holders, many of whom exited positions at steep losses as volatility intensified.
Bear Market Signals and Potential Support Levels
CryptoQuant data shows Bitcoin’s realized price at approximately $55,000, a level historically associated with bear market bottoms. In past cycles, the asset traded 24% to 30% below its realized price before stabilizing and eventually recovering.
Market analysts caution that while extreme realized loss spikes have previously preceded relief rallies, prolonged downturns can still follow. Some researchers suggest that additional confirmation signals, such as sustained institutional accumulation or miner stabilization, may be needed before a durable bottom forms.
Current projections place potential support between $40,000 and $60,000, depending on broader macroeconomic conditions and market sentiment.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.