Blockchain advocacy organization The Digital Chamber has formed a new initiative aimed at defending and shaping the future of prediction markets in the United States. The newly announced Prediction Markets Working Group will focus on advancing policy clarity while reinforcing federal oversight of the sector.
The group’s first move was to send a formal letter to Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Mike Selig, expressing support for the agency’s role in supervising event-based contracts. The letter praised recent remarks signaling that the CFTC intends to provide tailored rulemaking instead of relying on enforcement actions.
According to the organization, prediction market operators have faced years of regulatory uncertainty, particularly due to overlapping authority between federal agencies and state regulators.
State Enforcement Actions Against Prediction Platforms
The policy push comes as leading platforms face mounting legal pressure. Kalshi was recently targeted by the Nevada Gaming Control Board, which is seeking to block the company from offering contracts it describes as unlicensed wagering.
Meanwhile, Polymarket has filed a federal lawsuit against Massachusetts, arguing that federal derivatives law preempts state-level enforcement.
CFTC leadership has reiterated that event contracts have been under federal oversight for decades, while some state officials, including Spencer Cox, continue to frame prediction markets as gambling activities rather than regulated financial instruments.
The outcome of these legal and regulatory battles could define how prediction markets operate nationwide in the years ahead.
Disclaimer
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