Author: Tristan Lodenberg

Half of Bitcoin’s monthly closes over the past two years have ended in positive territory, a trend that one economist believes strengthens the probability of higher prices by year-end. Economist Timothy Peterson recently noted that 50% of the last 24 months delivered gains. Based on historical patterns he tracks, that ratio implies an 88% likelihood that Bitcoin could trade above current levels within the next 10 months, placing his outlook around late December. Bitcoin Historical Performance and Seasonal Trends Data from market trackers shows Bitcoin recorded gains in six months of 2025 so far, while the remaining months closed lower.…

Bitcoin remained under significant selling pressure as prices oscillated in a narrow range. BTC was trading near $68k by Feb 21 after dipping below this level earlier in the week, with daily highs and lows reflecting volatile sentiment. Historical price data shows Bitcoin opened around $68,814 on Feb 15 and was roughly $68,011 on Feb 21. Ethereum while also subdued, held near $2,050, mirroring Bitcoin’s trend without a strong breakout. XRP tracked around $1.40–$1.50 during the same period, showing modest stabilization after earlier rebounds from lower February lows. Market dynamics were marked by macro factors and risk aversion, constraining major…

Retail crypto investors are widening their focus beyond market leaders as volatility persists, signaling a shift in behavior during the latest downturn. According to Robinhood Head of Crypto Johann Kerbrat, trading activity remains steady despite falling prices. Many users are treating the pullback as a buying opportunity and expanding exposure beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, traditionally the two dominant assets by market capitalization. Altcoin Diversification Trends in a Weak Market Market data supports the cautious tone. The Altcoin Season Index recently showed a Bitcoin Season score of 33 out of 100, indicating continued preference for Bitcoin over smaller tokens. However, investors…

An outright ban on any mention of bitcoin or cryptocurrency is now in effect on the official Discord server of OpenClaw, following a turbulent episode that nearly derailed the fast growing AI project. The decision came after scammers exploited a brief rebranding window earlier this year. During the transition from the project’s former name, Clawdbot, malicious actors hijacked its old social media and repository handles and launched a fake token branded as $CLAWD on the Solana network. Within hours, the token’s market capitalization surged to $16 million before collapsing more than 90% once the project’s creator publicly disavowed any connection.…

XRP has held relatively steady over the past week, but price action remains capped below the $1.50 level despite three consecutive weeks of spot ETF inflows. On the surface, continued inflows suggest institutional support. However, the pace of capital entering XRP products has slowed dramatically. For the week ending February 6, XRP spot ETFs recorded $36.04 million in inflows. By the week ending February 20, that figure had dropped to just $1.84 million a decline of roughly 95% in three weeks. While still positive, the sharp slowdown signals weakening conviction among larger investors. Technical Indicators Point to Breakdown Risk From…

Fresh tariffs announced by Donald Trump are drawing sharp criticism from lawmakers and trade policy analysts who argue the measures could slow economic growth and raise costs for American households. The administration recently introduced a 10% global tariff, following earlier trade actions that remain in place under Section 232 and Section 301 authorities. The move came shortly after the U.S. Supreme Court limited the White House’s ability to use emergency economic powers to justify broad tariff policies. Senator Rand Paul described the tariffs as a tax increase that would ultimately be paid by working families and small businesses. Representative Ro…

The crypto market has surrendered nearly all gains made during the post election surge that followed the November 2024 U.S. presidential vote. After rallying sharply through late 2024 and much of 2025, the sector reversed course in a historic October downturn. The Total3 Market Cap which tracks the crypto sector excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum climbed more than 91% after the Nov. 5 election, rising from roughly $600 billion to $1.16 trillion by December 2024. Momentum briefly returned in January 2025, pushing the metric back above $1.13 trillion just before Donald Trump’s inauguration. A final peak near $1.19 trillion was recorded…

U.S. President Donald Trump announced an immediate increase in the global tariff rate from 10% to 15%, citing alternative legal authority after a Supreme Court ruling limited his ability to impose broad tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. The administration is now relying on provisions within the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the Trade Act of 1974 to support the move. Critics argue these statutes restrict tariffs to specific conditions, including trade deficits and limited time frames, potentially capping both scope and duration. Previous tariff announcements have triggered volatility across equities and digital assets, heightening macroeconomic uncertainty.…

Expectations for Bitcoin to surge toward $150,000 or higher are losing momentum, according to data from Santiment. The firm reports that aggressive price targets, once widely discussed across social media, are now “drying up,” signaling a shift in retail sentiment. Bitcoin previously reached a peak near $126,100 in October before entering a prolonged correction. After falling to around $60,000 earlier this month, the asset has rebounded to roughly $68,000 but remains down more than 24% over the past 30 days. Santiment notes that the ratio of bullish to bearish commentary has returned to neutral territory following a period of extreme…

Digital asset markets have shed nearly $1 trillion in market capitalization over the past month, as Bitcoin and major altcoins remain under sustained pressure. Despite the sharp correction in spot prices, capital formation within blockchain infrastructure and tokenized real world assets continues to advance. One notable development is a $107 million acquisition plan by Nakamoto, which will bring BTC Inc and UTXO Management under its corporate structure. The deal expands its exposure to Bitcoin focused media, events and asset management services, consolidating operations during a period of market stress. Venture Capital Shifts Toward Blockchain Infrastructure Institutional appetite for blockchain based…