Veteran trader sees potential for a surge beyond $150K as Bitcoin nears critical cycle threshold
Bitcoin may be on the verge of one of its most explosive moves yet — but only if it breaks from its traditional four-year cycle, according to veteran trader Peter Brandt. The long-time market analyst believes that if Bitcoin doesn’t top out in the coming days, the next leg could send prices into uncharted territory.
“It is reasonable to expect a bull market high any day now,” Brandt said, referencing Bitcoin’s historical halving cycles that have guided previous bull markets. He noted that while these cycles have varied in length, the post-halving rally period has always mirrored the pre-halving phase in duration.
Bitcoin Reaches Crucial Timing Window
Bitcoin hit its cycle low on Nov. 9, 2022, roughly 533 days before the most recent halving on April 20, 2024. Adding the same number of days post-halving brings the timeline to early October 2025 — the current period.
“Add 533 days to April 20, 2024, and bingo — it is this week,” Brandt said. Just days after that calculation, Bitcoin briefly set a new all-time high above $126,100 before consolidating around $122,000.
Despite the historical precision of Bitcoin’s cycles, Brandt emphasized that markets often break patterns before major moves.
“Trends that violate the prevailing cyclic nature of markets are typically the most dramatic,” he said, hinting that a deviation from the cycle could trigger a major upside breakout.
Analysts Split on Bitcoin’s Next Move
While Brandt remains cautiously bullish — saying he is “50/50” on the next move — he believes that if the cycle extends, Bitcoin could reach $150,000 to $185,000 in the months ahead.
“I will remain bullish, hopeful for counter-cyclicality,” he said.
The debate over whether Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle remains relevant continues to divide analysts. Rekt Capital, another crypto market commentator, recently said that if Bitcoin mirrors its 2020 cycle, the market top could form by October.
Meanwhile, institutional influence — from spot Bitcoin ETFs to corporate treasury adoption — may be reshaping how these cycles unfold. As Gemini executive Saad Ahmed noted, “It ultimately stems from investor psychology — excitement, overextension, and then correction.”
Economists and fund managers alike are turning increasingly bullish. Analyst Timothy Peterson predicts a 50% chance that Bitcoin ends October above $140,000, while Arthur Hayes and Joe Burnett see a possible run to $250,000 by 2025.
If Bitcoin breaks free from its predictable cycle, it could mark the beginning of a new phase of institutional-driven price discovery — one that redefines the crypto market’s long-standing rhythm.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.