Cardano (ADA), the 10th largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is once again capturing attention as analysts weigh in on its long-term potential. Despite a recent 3.49% decline over the past week, ADA is consolidating near the $0.90 region, raising the question: could history repeat itself and push the altcoin back toward its 2021 highs?

During the last major cycle, Cardano rallied from just $0.018 in early 2020 to an all-time high of $3.10 in 2021. This explosive move was largely fueled by market speculation, network upgrades, and broader crypto adoption. Analysts are now comparing current market patterns with that historic run.

Fibonacci Levels Point to $3–$6 Targets

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently highlighted Cardano’s structure using the Fibonacci extension tool, which maps historical price movements to project potential future targets.

  • Key Zone: ADA is currently consolidating near the 0.618 Fibonacci level ($1.15), historically a critical support/resistance point.
  • Bullish Scenario: If ADA decisively breaks above $1.15, momentum could extend toward the $3–$6 range, aligning with the 1.000 and 1.272 Fibonacci extensions.
  • Bearish Scenario: A rejection could push prices lower toward $0.62 (0.382 Fib) or even $0.43 (0.236 Fib).
 @ali_charts on X

On-Chain Data Signals Mixed Sentiment

Recent whale activity adds complexity to the outlook. Over the past 72 hours, 530 million ADA worth $472 million was moved by large holders, according to Martinez. This scale of selling often signals profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing, adding short-term bearish pressure.

At the same time, daily trading volume has dropped by 49.53%, showing reduced activity among retail traders. Lower volume may limit ADA’s ability to break resistance in the immediate term.

Cardano Market Overview

  • Current Price: $0.89
  • 24h Performance: –0.41%
  • Market Cap: $32.03 billion
  • Ranking: 10th largest cryptocurrency

Cardano stands at a pivotal moment. Breaking above the $1.15 resistance level could reignite bullish momentum and potentially repeat the explosive surge seen in 2021. However, heavy whale selling and declining trading volumes highlight the risks of near-term pullbacks.

For investors, the coming weeks will be crucial. If history is any guide, ADA’s technical structure suggests that the $3–$6 range is not out of reach — but only if bulls can overcome key resistance zones.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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