Failed catalysts, forced selling risks, and a liquidity shock delivered the sharpest crypto drawdown since 2022

The crypto market entered late 2025 with high expectations. Strong exchange-traded fund inflows, aggressive digital asset treasury strategies, and historically bullish year-end seasonality were widely expected to push prices higher. Instead, the market suffered a severe drawdown, marking its worst downturn since the crypto winter of 2022.

Bitcoin reached a record high in early October but quickly reversed. A $19 billion liquidation cascade that month shattered market depth and confidence, triggering a sharp decline across digital assets. Bitcoin has since fallen around 23% from early October, underperforming equities and precious metals during the same period. The rapid sell-off exposed lingering fragility beneath institutional adoption narratives.

Crypto purchases by DATs (Blockworks)
Crypto purchases by DATs 

Digital asset treasuries, once seen as a structural source of demand, have become a growing risk. As crypto prices fell, many treasury-backed companies saw their market capitalizations drop below net asset value, limiting their ability to raise funds. Several have halted crypto purchases entirely, while some are now repurchasing shares instead of accumulating assets. This raises concerns about potential forced selling into an already weak market.

Spot altcoin ETFs attracted meaningful inflows, yet failed to lift token prices. Despite hundreds of millions flowing into products tied to major altcoins, underlying assets posted double-digit declines. This disconnect highlighted shrinking risk appetite rather than lack of access.

Bitcoin returns by quarter (CoinGlass)
Bitcoin returns by quarter 

Following the October liquidation event, market liquidity failed to recover. Recent price rebounds were driven largely by short covering instead of new demand, signaling caution among traders. With rate cuts failing to boost prices and ETF enthusiasm cooling, crypto enters 2026 without a clear bullish catalyst.

While capitulation may eventually create opportunity, the end of 2025 stands as a reminder that structural optimism cannot offset liquidity shocks and leverage-driven excesses.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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