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Three Key Signals Suggest Bitcoin Could Rally Toward $85,000
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Three Key Signals Suggest Bitcoin Could Rally Toward $85,000

Bitcoin is showing multiple bullish signals across on-chain metrics, futures positioning, and options market activity, strengthening expectations that the cryptocurrency could move toward the $85,000 level in the near term.

Laurisa
By Laurisa

Junior Author · May 7, 2026

2 min
Key takeaways
Bitcoin is showing multiple bullish signals across on-chain metrics, futures positioning, and options market activity, strengthening expectations that the cryptocurrency could move toward the $85,000 level in the near term.
The digital asset recently climbed above two closely watched on-chain indicators the True Market Mean at $78,200 and the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis at $79,100.
Analysts consider these levels important because they reflect the average acquisition prices of active Bitcoin investors and short-term holders.

Bitcoin is showing multiple bullish signals across on-chain metrics, futures positioning, and options market activity, strengthening expectations that the cryptocurrency could move toward the $85,000 level in the near term.

The digital asset recently climbed above two closely watched on-chain indicators the True Market Mean at $78,200 and the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis at $79,100. Analysts consider these levels important because they reflect the average acquisition prices of active Bitcoin investors and short-term holders.

BTC has topped its True Market Mean and Short-Term Holder Cost Basis

Trading above both levels suggests that most active market participants are currently holding profits, often viewed as a sign of strengthening investor confidence and improving market sentiment.

Futures and Options Markets Support Bullish Momentum

Bitcoin futures markets are also showing signs of reduced selling pressure. Funding rates, which had remained negative for months due to aggressive short positioning, have now shifted back toward neutral levels. Analysts believe many institutional short positions tied to arbitrage strategies may already have been closed.

Bitcoin futures daily price chart

This change increases the possibility of a short squeeze, where traders betting against Bitcoin may be forced to buy back positions if prices continue rising.

Meanwhile, options market data shows dealers holding significant short gamma exposure near the $82,000 level. This setup can create additional buying pressure as market makers hedge upward price movements, potentially accelerating Bitcoin’s momentum toward the next major resistance zone around $85,200.

How markets are positioning

Live market reaction

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Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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About the author

Laurisa
Laurisa

Emerging voice in crypto journalism with a background in fintech and digital economics. Covers DeFi, NFTs, and the evolving regulatory landscape.