Bitcoin is trading near $78,000, repeatedly testing a resistance level it failed to break on Friday and has not sustained since January. The market is now positioned at a critical inflection point, with heavy derivatives exposure building on both sides of the price range.

$BTC 4h price chart

According to CoinGlass liquidation data, a move above current levels could trigger around $180 million in short liquidations concentrated between $77,000 and $78,000, potentially accelerating upward momentum toward $80,000. At the same time, downside risk remains significant, with approximately $71 million in long positions at risk of liquidation if Bitcoin falls below $77,300.

CoinGlass’ liquidation heatmap

Macro Sentiment Improves as Geopolitical Tensions Ease

Broader market sentiment strengthened after U.S. President Donald Trump extended the Iran ceasefire and described the country’s government as “seriously fractured.” Following the announcement, Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.77% and S&P 500 futures gained 0.6%, supporting risk assets including crypto.

Recent price action already triggered large forced closures, with Bitcoin’s breakout attempt leading to approximately $286 million in short liquidations across derivatives exchanges, compared to $132 million in long liquidations. This imbalance highlights strong bearish positioning being squeezed as prices climb.

Altcoins and Memecoins Outperform in Risk-On Shift

While Bitcoin consolidates near resistance, altcoins have surged, with memecoins leading gains amid renewed risk appetite.

With both liquidity pressure and macro sentiment improving, Bitcoin’s ability to hold and break above the $78,000 zone is now shaping near-term direction for the broader crypto market.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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