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Bitcoin Volatility Hits Record Lows as Traders Chase Bigger Payoffs Elsewhere
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Bitcoin Volatility Hits Record Lows as Traders Chase Bigger Payoffs Elsewhere

Bitcoin's price swings have narrowed to their tightest gap with the S&P 500 on record, with 30-day realized volatility at 42% annualized versus 18% for stocks. Edmond Goh, global head of trading at B2C2, says retail traders have shifted toward AI equities, tokenized stocks, and prediction markets as crypto markets mature.

Tristan R.
By Tristan R.

Senior Author · August 18, 2026

2 min
Key takeaways
Bitcoin's price swings have narrowed to their tightest gap with the S&P 500 on record, with 30-day realized volatility at 42% annualized versus 18% for stocks.
Edmond Goh, global head of trading at B2C2, says retail traders have shifted toward AI equities, tokenized stocks, and prediction markets as crypto markets mature.
Supply and Demand in Stalemate Shiliang Tang of Monarq Asset Management points to steady corporate selling from firms like Strategy and MARA capping rallies, while flushed-out leverage and long-term holder accumulation limit downside.

Bitcoin’s price swings have narrowed to their tightest gap with the S&P 500 on record, with 30-day realized volatility at 42% annualized versus 18% for stocks. Edmond Goh, global head of trading at B2C2, says retail traders have shifted toward AI equities, tokenized stocks, and prediction markets as crypto markets mature.

Supply and Demand in Stalemate

Shiliang Tang of Monarq Asset Management points to steady corporate selling from firms like Strategy and MARA capping rallies, while flushed-out leverage and long-term holder accumulation limit downside. Strategy alone has sold roughly 7,000 BTC this year.

Faded Narratives, Delayed Regulation

Folkvang founder Mike van Rossum says the “Trump loves crypto” buzz has cooled, while Wincent’s Paul Howard cites a pause ahead of the CLARITY Act’s delayed Senate vote, now set for September 15. NYDIG’s Greg Cipolaro notes traders are rotating into equities and metals instead. South Korea’s retail crowd has shifted toward AI-driven stocks, sending the KOSPI up over 70% this year.

How markets are positioning

Live market reaction

🛢️WTI Crude
+3.4%
Gold
+1.8%
Bitcoin
-1.8%
$DXY
+0.6%

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.

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About the author

Tristan R.
Tristan R.

8+ years covering crypto markets, macro, and geopolitics. Previously at Decrypt and CoinDesk. Focused on the intersection of digital assets and traditional finance.