Large Bitcoin holders have steadily built aggressive long positions over the past two months, pointing to rising confidence among major traders.Data from Glassnode that whales trading on Hyperliquid shifted from net short to net long positions in early March and have continued expanding those positions through February, March, and April.
These traders, typically managing positions exceeding $10 million, have historically led spot market movements rather than followed them. The shift to a net-long stance occurred before Bitcoin rebounded from the mid-$60,000 range in February to near $80,000 in April, reinforcing the view that large traders anticipated the recovery. Current positioning now represents the most aggressively long bias recorded in recent dataset trends.
Deeply Negative Funding Rates Strengthen Short Squeeze Risk
According to data from Coinglass, Bitcoin perpetual funding rates across major exchanges remain around -0.13% on a seven-day basis. This indicates short sellers are paying long holders to maintain positions, a sign of persistent bearish sentiment in derivatives markets. The negative funding trend has lasted approximately 47 consecutive days, marking one of the longest stretches of bearish positioning on record.
When aggressive whale longs combine with sustained negative funding, market conditions can create a powerful short squeeze if prices move higher, forcing short sellers to exit positions rapidly.
Macro Factors and Geopolitical Events Add Market Uncertainty
Broader financial developments are also shaping sentiment. The S&P 500 recently closed at record highs, marking its strongest weekly performance since 2024. Meanwhile, Treasury yields declined after the United States Department of Justice ended its probe into Jerome Powell, potentially clearing the way for Kevin Warsh to be confirmed as the next Federal Reserve leader.
Geopolitical uncertainty also persists after Donald Trump canceled a planned U.S. delegation trip to Islamabad, following the departure of Iran’s foreign minister ahead of scheduled negotiations. These combined factors may influence whether current whale long positions continue to benefit from upward price momentum or face sudden volatility.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves risk and may result in financial loss.